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1 Tensions Over Silver and Resumption of Physical Gold Purchases

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This week, Cyrille Jubert published an excellent article on the explosive silver situation. The silver chart pattern is reminiscent of that seen at the end of 2010: The gold/silver ratio remains historically high, suggesting a relative undervaluation of silver: A return to the historical average (67) could quickly propel the price of silver to $40 an ounce. Tensions in the physical silver market over the past week provide further evidence that we are on the cusp of a new peak. The silver market has seen a significant increase in the EFP premium, a structure that links futures contracts to physical silver. This phenomenon reflects increased tension between COMEX futures prices (notably the March contract) and the spot price of physical silver. Let's try to explain this in detail. The COMEX, based in the USA, is an exchange where silver futures contracts are traded, enabling a price to be set for future delivery. Conversely, the London market,...

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