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1 The Bonds Decline Is Accelerating As 2025 Begins

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The year 2025 is beginning with stagflation. In Europe, economic activity continues its slowdown. The latest manufacturing PMI indices all show a marked decline, while the job market in turn is likely to be impacted by this slowdown in the months ahead. The German economy is going through a deep crisis that threatens to spread to Europe and the rest of the world. In December, the PMI services index rose modestly to 51.2, suggesting a timid recovery. However, the manufacturing sector remains in the midst of a depression, marked by virtually empty order books and a fall in employment for the sixth consecutive month. The service sector, which is closely linked to industry, with 70% of its activity dependent on it, is also feeling the effects of the crisis, recording a fall in new orders for the fourth consecutive month. Job cuts in Germany are on the rise, as companies seek to improve productivity to compensate. But higher productivity means a smaller workforce, further...

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