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1 After the Gold Rush, Will We See a Silver Rush?

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In August 2024, gold sent a strong buy signal by outperforming the 60/40 portfolio, a classic asset management model allocating 60% to equities and 40% to bonds: In my bulletin from the month of August, I wrote: “Since 1980, gold has never really managed to outperform a conventional portfolio composed of 60% bonds and 40% equities. The period 2000-2011 is an exception. Since Volcker's intervention in interest rates in 1980, gold has systematically underperformed this 60/40 investment strategy, which has enriched two generations of asset managers. Why invest in gold when such a simple, world-renowned strategy works so well? Only when this chart breaks to the upside will gold become a must-have for Western investors. Gold will be favored provided it manages to outperform the classic strategy that has prevailed since 1980. For this phenomenon to become a reality, there will first have to be a real surge in demand for gold in the West. For the moment, this...

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